Will Tesla's Q4 Earnings Fuel Its Stock Rally?

Tesla Inc will be reporting its fourth-quarter earnings on Wednesday. Wall Street expects the company to announce $0.74 in earnings per share (EPS) and $27.13 billion in revenues.

Recent Performance

The stock has seen a significant increase of 106.68% over the past year, although it is down 1.41% year-to-date.

Investor Concerns Ahead of Q4 Earnings

As Tesla prepares to report its fourth-quarter earnings, investors are watching closely for clarity on its growth trajectory. CEO Elon Musk has promised a 30% sales increase in 2025, but Wall Street remains skeptical about this projection. The recent refresh of the Model Y aims to reignite demand, but many believe a cheaper Tesla, dubbed “Model Q,” is crucial.

Concerns still loom over Musk’s growing commitments beyond Tesla, including his involvement in politics and multiple ventures. With President Donald Trump’s potential rollback of EV incentives and the uncertain timeline for Tesla’s robotaxi and Optimus projects, investor sentiment remains a mix of excitement and caution.

Chart Analysis

Let’s look at what the charts indicate for Tesla stock and how the stock currently maps against Wall Street estimates.

Tesla stock is caught between short-term selling pressure and long-term bullish momentum. The stock hovers at $394.11 — just above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $393.47 but lags behind its eight-day and 20-day SMAs of $411.22 and $407.77, respectively.

The short-term trend leans moderately bearish as selling pressure weighs in, but the bigger picture still favors the bulls. With the 200-day SMA sitting far below at $258.66 and a MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) of 2.30 flashing bullish signals, Tesla’s long-term trajectory remains intact.

An RSI (relative strength index) of 46.16 suggests there’s room to run before hitting overbought territory, meaning investors eyeing an entry may find this dip appealing while short-term traders should tread cautiously.

Analyst Estimates

Ratings & Consensus Estimates

The consensus analyst rating on Tesla stock stands at Neutral currently with a price target of $308.40. Recent analyst ratings imply a 16.09% upside for Tesla stock, with an average price target of $458.33.

TSLA Price Action

Tesla stock was trading flat at $398.42 at publication.

Key Takeaways

  • Tesla Inc will report its Q4 earnings on Wednesday
  • Wall Street expects $0.74 in EPS and $27.13 billion in revenues
  • Investor concerns include growth trajectory, competition, and regulatory changes
  • Chart analysis shows a short-term bearish trend but long-term bullish momentum
  • Analyst estimates imply a 16.09% upside for Tesla stock

Other news related to Tesla includes the potential impact of Trump’s proposed corporate tax cuts on the company’s FY25 EPS.