Tesla's Financial Forecast and Earnings Projections

Tesla is preparing to release its quarterly earnings on January 28, 2026. Here’s a brief overview of what investors should keep in mind before the announcement.

Earnings Expectations

Analysts expect Tesla to report an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40. Tesla bulls will hope to hear the company announce they’ve not only beaten that estimate, but also to provide positive guidance, or forecasted growth, for the next quarter.

Importance of Guidance

New investors should note that it is sometimes not an earnings beat or miss that most affects the price of a stock, but the guidance (or forecast).

Historical Earnings Performance

During the last quarter, the company reported an EPS that led to a 2.28% increase in the share price on the subsequent day. Here’s a look at Tesla’s past performance and the resulting price change:

Quarter Q3 2025 Q2 2025 Q1 2025 Q4 2024
EPS Estimate 0.5 0.35 0.41 0.77
EPS Actual 0.5 0.40 0.27 0.73
Price Change % 2.0 -8.00 5.00 3.00

Tesla Share Price Analysis

Shares of Tesla were trading at $435.2 as of January 26. Over the last 52-week period, shares are up 11.85%. Given that these returns are generally positive, long-term shareholders are likely bullish going into this earnings release.

Analyst Opinions on Tesla

Understanding market sentiments and expectations within the industry is crucial for investors.

  • Analysts have provided Tesla with 17 ratings, resulting in a consensus rating of Outperform.
  • The average one-year price target stands at $440.19, suggesting a potential 1.98% downside.

Comparing Ratings Among Industry Peers

In this comparison, we explore the analyst ratings and average 1-year price targets of General Motors, Ferrari, and Ford Motor, three prominent industry players, offering insights into their relative performance expectations and market positioning.

  • General Motors: Outperform, average 1-year price target of $88.0, suggesting a potential 80.4% downside.
  • Ferrari: Buy, average 1-year price target of $499.0, suggesting a potential 11.12% upside.
  • Ford Motor: Neutral, average 1-year price target of $14.09, suggesting a potential 96.86% downside.

Comprehensive Peer Analysis Summary

The peer analysis summary outlines pivotal metrics for General Motors, Ferrari, and Ford Motor, demonstrating their respective standings within the industry and offering valuable insights into their market positions and comparative performance.

Company Consensus Revenue Growth Gross Profit Return on Equity
Tesla Outperform 11.57% $5.05B 1.75%
General Motors Outperform -0.34% $3.11B 1.95%
Ferrari Buy 7.40% $883.98M 10.42%
Ford Motor Neutral 9.39% $4.30B 5.29%

Key Takeaway

Tesla ranks first in Revenue Growth among its peers, showing the highest percentage increase. In terms of Gross Profit, Tesla is at the top with the largest amount. However, Tesla has the lowest Return on Equity compared to its peers.

Delving into Tesla’s Background

Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real-world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and mid-size sedans, crossover SUVs, a light truck, and a semi-truck. Tesla also plans to begin selling a sports car and offer a robotaxi service.

A Deep Dive into Tesla’s Financials

  • Market Capitalization: Surpassing industry standards, the company’s market capitalization asserts its dominance in terms of size, suggesting a robust market position.
  • Revenue Growth: Tesla’s revenue growth over a period of 3 months has been noteworthy, with a growth rate of approximately 11.57%.
  • Net Margin: Tesla’s net margin surpasses industry standards, highlighting the company’s exceptional financial performance, with an impressive 4.89% net margin.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): The company’s ROE is a standout performer, exceeding industry averages, with an impressive ROE of 1.75%.
  • Return on Assets (ROA): Tesla’s ROA stands out, surpassing industry averages, with an impressive ROA of 1.05%.
  • Debt Management: Tesla’s debt-to-equity ratio is below industry norms, indicating a sound financial structure with a ratio of 0.17.