Tesla Shares Rise Despite Delivery Shortfall Ahead of Earnings Report

Tesla Inc shares are trading marginally higher as investors weigh analyst cuts and fresh inventory concerns against a mildly positive market trend.

Key Highlights

  • Tesla’s first-quarter delivery print of 358,023 vehicles fell short of the 365,645 consensus estimate
  • The company’s production of 408,386 vehicles also missed the 446,063 consensus estimate
  • Energy storage deployments of 8.8 GWh were lower than the expected 14.4 GWh

Analyst Sentiment

Analysts are split between near-term caution and long-term autonomy upside. While some analysts, such as JPMorgan’s Ryan Brinkman, have expressed caution, others, like Morgan Stanley, have maintained a positive outlook with a target of $415.

The broader market is mixed but slightly positive, with the Nasdaq up 0.33% and the S&P 500 up 0.11%, while the Dow Jones is down 0.43%.

Earnings Report Countdown

Tesla is set to report earnings on April 22, with the following estimates:

  • EPS Estimate: 33 cents (up from 27 cents YoY)
  • Revenue Estimate: $22.65 Billion (up from $19.34 Billion YoY)
  • Valuation: P/E of 320.0x (indicates premium valuation relative to peers)

Wall Street Stays Positive

Despite the target reset, Wall Street remains positive on Tesla, with a Buy Rating and an average price target of $417.82. Recent analyst moves include:

  • Canaccord Genuity: Buy (maintains target to $420.00) (April 6)
  • Baird: Outperform (lowers target to $538.00) (April 6)
  • Canaccord Genuity: Buy (lowers target to $420.00) (March 31)

TSLA Shares Edge Higher

Tesla shares were up 0.34% at $346.78 at the time of publication on Friday. Investors will be watching the company’s earnings report closely to see how it will impact the stock’s valuation and sentiment.